Hello,
So this is a classical problem apparently, and I know this design is not advisable, but I am interested in computing the currents/predicting the circuit's behavior without simulation (for general learning purposes/insight). The explanations I found use iterative computations only, resembling simulation. I am looking for something more intuitive.
As you can see in the attachment, this circuit has two LEDs in parallel, sharing a current limiting resistor.

Usually for diodes you assume there is a voltage drop across the diode that corresponds to its forward voltage Vf as given in the datasheet, but apparently with two diodes in parallel, you cannot use that rule of thumb.
The explanations I read essentially boil down to the LED with the lesser forward voltage conducting almost all of the current, so the other LED will never reach its forward voltage and remain off/very dim. (Which is then even more pronounced, because the conducting LED/semi conductor heats up and thereby becomes a better conductor compared to the dim LED.)
But they don't really explain what happens when you have two LEDs with Vf close to each other (which makes them both light up) and why that is the case, and at which Vf delta it's not the case anymore.
I thought about solving this problem graphically, with the
DC load line. I don't have the datasheets from the physical LEDs I own, so I looked some up that are supported by LTSpice (see attachment).
Here are the datasheets for the
bright green LED, the
blue LED, and the
red LED as used in the simulation. There is also an
overview page/catalog for all the LEDs.
I combined the "Forward Current vs. Forward Voltage" graphs for the red and blue LEDs, and then drew the black DC load line into it (220 Ohm current limiting resistor like in the circuit diagram, 5V supply => 5V/220Ohm = 22.72mA). See the attachment for the DC load line (red LED curve left, blue LED curve right).

So the red LED would have roughly Vf=2.1V at If=15ma and the blue one Vf=3.15V at If=9mA. But obviously that is incorrect when the LEDs are in parallel: both would be glowing with those values, but the simulation shows 2.09V across both LEDs, 13.18mA for red and 18.2
nA for blue, so only the red one would actually light up. So how would you do this correctly using the graphs above?
Is there a simple graphical or arithmetic method to estimate how such a parallel LED circuit will behave, at least so it roughly matches values from a simulation/real circuit?
Edit: since this thread is getting long, for people looking for
the answer I found (with help from people in this thread, thanks!), is here:
https://www.eevblog.com/forum/beginners/predicting-current-for-parallel-leds/msg4483126/#msg4483126