General > General Technical Chat

Any bets on how long before the component shortage bubble explodes?

<< < (9/11) > >>

Simon:
true, I mis-spelt it in my haste.

Infraviolet:
The chip shortages, and associated higher prices end when, and only when, there is enough manufacturing capacity back online to cover for the demand. That won't happen until several new factories have been built, or existing ones repurposed, to overcome things like the factory which brutn down in 2020 and those which have closed. Could take anywhere from one year to 4 years I'd guess, the incentive for new semiconductor plants is good, but setting them up will take time.

peter-h:
No; there is no real "demand".

The buying we are seeing is panic buying. People with cash are stocking up. Eventually they will get bored with it, and then there will be a crash.

daqq:
Not sure of your definition of a bubble.

The processes and requirements for manufacturing of passives are trivial in comparison to the manufacture of low complexity semiconductors. Not sure it's a good comparison.


edit:

--- Quote from: Cerebus on September 26, 2021, 12:22:14 pm ---Grrr. People who design a family of parts with different pinouts within the family should have their toes desoldered.

--- End quote ---
Yes oh yes oh yes, this a thousand times this!

Simon:

--- Quote from: peter-h on September 28, 2021, 07:21:05 am ---No; there is no real "demand".

The buying we are seeing is panic buying. People with cash are stocking up. Eventually they will get bored with it, and then there will be a crash.

--- End quote ---

Demand is up and we know that, I am now looking to prestock. If the manufacturer tells me that my microcontroller can be had in November 2021 or September 2022 what do I do? I ordered 1'000 with the assurance that of any of the projects I am aware of those ones will do all of them. I don't know how many are made at a time but only 8000 were available on preorder for 2 months time.....

Navigation

[0] Message Index

[#] Next page

[*] Previous page

There was an error while thanking
Thanking...
Go to full version