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Covid 19 virus
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iMo:

--- Quote from: Zero999 on March 23, 2020, 01:53:37 pm ---
--- Quote from: imo on March 23, 2020, 01:14:38 pm ---
--- Quote from: imo on March 19, 2020, 09:42:45 pm ---Based on the Diamond Princess cruise ship case (19% infected while people lived in rather suboptimal epidemiological conditions) let us be a little bit optimistic and estimate 8-15% of population infected in EU states (depends on the actual countermeasures applied by a particular country as well as the commitment of their citizens).
 :phew:

--- End quote ---

Based on the current Germany data (and Diamond Princess 19% infected), with the infected 8% in Germany you get similar number fatalities as with the Germany's flu in 2017/2018 (25000 Report).

Fatalities DE: 82.8mil*8%*0.42%= 27820

--- End quote ---
The problem with this virus is the speed at which it spreads, so heath care systems can't cope.

--- End quote ---
Sure, the assumption with that naive model is Germany masters the "flattening the curve".
BravoV:
 :palm: :palm: :palm:

-> Nigeria records chloroquine poisoning after Trump endorses it for coronavirus treatment
Cerebus:

--- Quote from: not1xor1 on March 23, 2020, 06:44:07 am ---I agree with you, but they were not as wide spread and causing as many problems and deaths as they do now... and worldwide

--- End quote ---

Agreed, but the situation now was a preventable situation if some in the political policy realm had listened to the warning voices, and thinking about that prompted me to think about the parallels with the current situation.
SiliconWizard:
https://www.caducee.net/actualite-medicale/14792/un-collectif-de-professionnels-de-sante-saisit-la-cour-de-justice-de-la-republique-contre-agnes-buzyn-et-edouard-philippe.html
not1xor1:

--- Quote from: vodka on March 23, 2020, 05:57:29 pm ---We know which is the destine of the elder people, die like dogs.

https://translate.google.es/translate?hl=es&sl=es&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.elconfidencial.com%2Fespana%2F2020-03-23%2Fmilitares-descubren-cadaveres-junto-a-residentes-de-centros-de-ancianos_2513372%2F

--- End quote ---

I read that in Germany youngsters organize so-called corona-party and cough on elders... is that true or yet another exaggeration?
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