| General > General Technical Chat |
| Covid 19 virus |
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| iMo:
--- Quote from: Zero999 on March 23, 2020, 01:53:37 pm --- --- Quote from: imo on March 23, 2020, 01:14:38 pm --- --- Quote from: imo on March 19, 2020, 09:42:45 pm ---Based on the Diamond Princess cruise ship case (19% infected while people lived in rather suboptimal epidemiological conditions) let us be a little bit optimistic and estimate 8-15% of population infected in EU states (depends on the actual countermeasures applied by a particular country as well as the commitment of their citizens). :phew: --- End quote --- Based on the current Germany data (and Diamond Princess 19% infected), with the infected 8% in Germany you get similar number fatalities as with the Germany's flu in 2017/2018 (25000 Report). Fatalities DE: 82.8mil*8%*0.42%= 27820 --- End quote --- The problem with this virus is the speed at which it spreads, so heath care systems can't cope. --- End quote --- Sure, the assumption with that naive model is Germany masters the "flattening the curve". |
| BravoV:
:palm: :palm: :palm: -> Nigeria records chloroquine poisoning after Trump endorses it for coronavirus treatment |
| Cerebus:
--- Quote from: not1xor1 on March 23, 2020, 06:44:07 am ---I agree with you, but they were not as wide spread and causing as many problems and deaths as they do now... and worldwide --- End quote --- Agreed, but the situation now was a preventable situation if some in the political policy realm had listened to the warning voices, and thinking about that prompted me to think about the parallels with the current situation. |
| SiliconWizard:
https://www.caducee.net/actualite-medicale/14792/un-collectif-de-professionnels-de-sante-saisit-la-cour-de-justice-de-la-republique-contre-agnes-buzyn-et-edouard-philippe.html |
| not1xor1:
--- Quote from: vodka on March 23, 2020, 05:57:29 pm ---We know which is the destine of the elder people, die like dogs. https://translate.google.es/translate?hl=es&sl=es&tl=en&u=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.elconfidencial.com%2Fespana%2F2020-03-23%2Fmilitares-descubren-cadaveres-junto-a-residentes-de-centros-de-ancianos_2513372%2F --- End quote --- I read that in Germany youngsters organize so-called corona-party and cough on elders... is that true or yet another exaggeration? |
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