General > General Technical Chat
Covid 19 virus
not1xor1:
--- Quote from: 0xdeadbeef on March 26, 2020, 07:24:21 pm ---I guess it's somewhat futile to compare numbers or even ratios of different countries since it's unclear how many people are tested and how many infected/dead are actually reported.
Today the number of 410k totally tested was published in Germany, but at the same time our leading Corona expert claimed that 500k people would be tested per week while the number of a maximum of 160k tests per week was claimed only some days ago and now a number of up to 360k tests per week being possible was given by the public health insurance organization.
Anyway, the number of tested is very high in Germany, while I would assume it's rather low in countries like Iran. Actually, if I understand the numbers of the CDC correctly, even in the USA only around 100k tests were performed up to now. And of course it's highly questionable if illiberal states publish reliable numbers.
--- End quote ---
do not forget that tests are meaningless in the sense that people negative now might get infected 5 minutes later and that some people like health care staff have to be tested multiple times
so far in Italy 361,060 tests have been performed
Simon:
I'm just thinking that ignoring differences in methods if you compare increase rates assuming they don't suddenly change the method like china did you can see how each country is doing relatively with the rate of increase in cases.
paulca:
--- Quote from: SiliconWizard on March 26, 2020, 06:17:45 pm ---@not1xor1: I don't know how much we can trust the published figures, but currently Italy has one of the highest death rate (deaths/total cases) with about 10%. This is gigantic.
--- End quote ---
In the UK it currently seems as though most people die from it.
Look at "Closed Cases"
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
maginnovision:
--- Quote from: paulca on March 26, 2020, 08:28:49 pm ---
--- Quote from: SiliconWizard on March 26, 2020, 06:17:45 pm ---@not1xor1: I don't know how much we can trust the published figures, but currently Italy has one of the highest death rate (deaths/total cases) with about 10%. This is gigantic.
--- End quote ---
In the UK it currently seems as though most people die from it.
Look at "Closed Cases"
https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/uk/
--- End quote ---
Haha, I'm sure that's skewed. If 81% is the mortality rate for the UK they might as well figure out which country is going to be expanding.
iMo:
That 81% is from "Cases which had an outcome"
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