| General > General Technical Chat |
| Covid 19 virus |
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| Nusa:
However, the areas that got it first are going to recover first. So China is going to be back to work sooner than the US, which is just starting to react, despite Trumps assurances that everything will be ok. (I have food for maybe three months, although the last month won't have much variety.) |
| iMo:
German Chancellor Merkel on Covid: https://berlinspectator.com/2020/03/11/merkel-on-coronavirus-we-need-to-pass-the-test/ "Therefore 60 to 70 percent of all people in Germany could be infected." aka "What Doesn't Kill You Makes You Stronger" |
| Cerebus:
--- Quote from: donotdespisethesnake on March 11, 2020, 08:00:44 pm --- --- Quote from: not1xor1 on March 11, 2020, 06:58:20 pm ---by May it the virus should be much weaker. --- End quote --- Snopes rates that as "unproven". https://www.snopes.com/fact-check/coronavirus-warm-weather/ --- End quote --- "The virus should be much weaker" and 'the virus is less likely to be transmitted in warmer weather' - the latter being what Snopes considers - are not the same thing. There's a real possibility that the virus in circulation may be less virulent by May by a combination of two reasons: (1) Coronaviruses are highly mutable, there's a very high probability of new variants emerging during a pandemic, (2) viruses/bacteria/parasites that kill their hosts are less likely to spread than less lethal variants. This was actually seen, and confirmed, during one of the earlier flu pandemics (I don't offhand remember which one) where later in the pandemic the original flu variant died off and a mutated, less virulent, variant continued to spread - the death rate fell while infection rates continued at the same level. Although this is a real possibility, it's not a effect that any plan to control the disease ought to rely on. |
| iMo:
The virus is more prone to a damage with higher temperature, lower humidity and more ultraviolet exposure. Therefore we have flu epidemics in the northern hemisphere usually in winter (and also the human immune system is at lowest level in winter/spring). |
| iMo:
The cloudy vs. sunny days in the spring may represent days vs. hours of the virus activity on a surface. PS: Italy closes all stores except pharmacies and food outlets |
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