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Covid 19 virus
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nctnico:

--- Quote from: not1xor1 on March 17, 2020, 09:09:52 am ---In Italy the infection rate is slowly getting lower and lower although the situation is not the same everywhere (there is even a province with zero cases).
It takes time to see the effect of quarantine. I'm sure anyway that we'll have to wait at least another month before getting where China is now.

--- End quote ---
Unfortunately the infection numbers mean absolutely nothing because they solely rely on testing. In most parts of Europe the situation is so out of control that only people with severe symptoms get tested. Also a large number of people have such mild symptoms that they aren't tested at all. All in all the only real number you can use as a gauge to say anything meaningfull about the spreading of the Corona virus is the number of deaths.
thinkfat:

--- Quote ---All in all the only real number you can use as a gauge to say anything meaningfull about the spreading of the Corona virus is the number of deaths.

--- End quote ---

And even that varies wildly. In Germany, we have quite a number of confirmed infections (more than 7000, if you believe JHU, a little over 6000 reported to RKI) but a very low CFR (0.2%).

IMHO, this means two things:
- Germany is still at the very beginning of the wave and not many critical cases had the time to come to closure.
- We have a good test coverage.

Alternative:
- we're incredibly sloppy in our testing and the CFR is much higher in reality.

Germans, sloppy?  :-DD
paulca:
Tune in tonight for some serious CAR CRASH TV!


--- Quote ---Coronavirus: German Big Brother cast to be told about pandemic live on TV
--- End quote ---

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/newsbeat-51923334
iMo:

--- Quote from: thinkfat on March 17, 2020, 11:57:37 am ---..
IMHO, this means two things:
- Germany is still at the very beginning of the wave and not many critical cases had the time to come to closure.
- We have a good test coverage...

--- End quote ---
In Markus Lanz talk show (11.3.) your expert said Germany CFR is low because of very early testing start and good testing coverage..

BU508A:
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