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Covid 19 virus
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Stray Electron:

--- Quote from: engrguy42 on March 19, 2020, 08:41:13 pm ---Fyi, the population of the US is approximately 330 million.

As of today, the CDC reports there have been a total of 150 deaths in the US so far from COVID-19.

And of those who contract it, the death rate is around 2 to 4%.

CDC also estimates that in the last 5 months there have been 22,000 - 55,000 deaths from the ordinary flu.

Going overboard with rational precautions is a good thing, but irrational fear is never a good thing.

--- End quote ---

   Come back in six months and then you can tell if the fear was irrational or not.  I'm pretty certain that you have never been through an empidemic and have no idea what it's like. I've been through one it's not something that should ever be treated lightly.
Zero999:

--- Quote from: imo on March 19, 2020, 08:43:42 pm ---
--- Quote from: coppice on March 19, 2020, 08:38:37 pm ---
--- Quote from: Stray Electron on March 19, 2020, 08:35:57 pm ---
--- Quote from: rgarito on March 19, 2020, 06:56:55 pm ---Nah, in America, we are concentrating on testing members of sports teams...   :palm:

--- End quote ---

   And the politicians, and the movie stars! 

    You can tell where America's priorities lay.

--- End quote ---
Considering the number of European politicians who have tested positive, they might just be testing the right demographic.

--- End quote ---

EU chief Brexit negotiator tested positive. Now, try to track down with whom he was in contact :)

--- End quote ---
It's hardly surprising those who travel most will disproportionally be infected. The next thing will be someone famous dying from it.
mzzj:

--- Quote from: engrguy42 on March 19, 2020, 08:41:13 pm ---Fyi, the population of the US is approximately 330 million.

As of today, the CDC reports there have been a total of 150 deaths in the US so far from COVID-19.

And of those who contract it, the death rate is around 2 to 4%.

CDC also estimates that in the last 5 months there have been 22,000 - 55,000 deaths from the ordinary flu.

Going overboard with rational precautions is a good thing, but irrational fear is never a good thing.

--- End quote ---
If you managed to stop ALL further infections in the US you would have peak number of cases about 2 weeks from now on. Peak number of deaths would probably occur 3-4weeks from now on.
You have about 10000 cases total today, in two weeks you are going at somewhere 500000 total cases assuming that the curfews placed so far work as hoped for. 50000 dead even if virus transmission stops today.

How long it took for Italy to go from 150 deaths total to 500 deaths per day?

Panic is yet to come, wait for may.   
not1xor1:

--- Quote from: Mr. Scram on March 19, 2020, 06:59:34 pm ---
--- Quote from: james_s on March 19, 2020, 06:52:54 pm ---I read yesterday that there is a problem now with people pulling their money out of banks but I don't know how widespread it is. Don't underestimate the levels of irrational behavior that can be caused by panic, it spreads like a virus itself and leads to all kinds of crazy things and self-fulfilling prophecies. It's a basic human trait, I mean people get killed in stampedes to get cheap discounted junk in stores on black friday sales. Nobody is going to say it's rational to stampede and kill someone over a waffle maker but it happens.

--- End quote ---
This is one of those rumours we should be careful with. Relaying it can spread irrational fears quickly. It also a stupid thing to do as no one will touch your cash money. I happened to have a larger amount than usual in my wallet and I can't spend it!

--- End quote ---

AFAIK that is mainly an US problem

here in Italy we'll soon get above China figures regarding total cases and deaths, but nobody is panicking, neither did in Asia
yes, lots of people are worried, sad for the loss of friends or relative, but there is no real panic

most people are still working, there is no lack of food, no empty shelves, nobody ever thought about buying weapons
here the only problem are some stupid people that do not abide by the quarantine rules

I think that you have a much more serious problem than COVID-19 virus there in the US
nctnico:

--- Quote from: engrguy42 on March 19, 2020, 08:41:13 pm ---Fyi, the population of the US is approximately 330 million.

As of today, the CDC reports there have been a total of 150 deaths in the US so far from COVID-19.

And of those who contract it, the death rate is around 2 to 4%.

CDC also estimates that in the last 5 months there have been 22,000 - 55,000 deaths from the ordinary flu.

Going overboard with rational precautions is a good thing, but irrational fear is never a good thing.

--- End quote ---
You really are comparing apples to oranges. The flu season is about over but the Corona virus season has just begun! You can safely assume 70% of the people in the US gets infected at some point. Even at a 2% death rate this means over 4 million people will die in the US alone. More if lots of people get sick at the same time and saturate health care.

The only way to avoid this is to buy time through strict quarantine until there is a vaccine that works.
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