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Covid 19 virus
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engrguy42:
FWIW, I've pretty much stopped following this thread, but I thought I'd jump in and provide some of the latest WHO data for the US. Attached is my Excel graph of total deaths as well as new deaths each day.

The blue bars are total deaths to date, and the yellow are the new deaths each day. Apparently CDC's numbers are higher (for whatever reason...I'm thinking WHO might be a day behind CDC or something) but I thought I'd stick with WHO to make them comparable to the rest of the world.

For the TL;DR crowd, basically the number of new deaths in the US has been pretty flat at between 40 and 50 each day for the last 4 days. I also adjusted the vertical scale to highlight that it's all a matter of perspective. And to allow for the inevitable increase.
Zero999:

--- Quote from: engrguy42 on March 21, 2020, 09:55:22 pm ---FWIW, I've pretty much stopped following this thread, but I thought I'd jump in and provide some of the latest WHO data for the US. Attached is my Excel graph of total deaths as well as new deaths each day.

The blue bars are total deaths to date, and the yellow are the new deaths each day. Apparently CDC's numbers are higher (for whatever reason...I'm thinking WHO might be a day behind CDC or something) but I thought I'd stick with WHO to make them comparable to the rest of the world.

For the TL;DR crowd, basically the number of new deaths in the US has been pretty flat at between 40 and 50 each day for the last 4 days. I also adjusted the vertical scale to highlight that it's all a matter of perspective. And to allow for the inevitable increase.

--- End quote ---
That's good news, but there's no need for complacency. There will be a lag between people contracting the virus, falling ill and dying. I hope the number of deaths fall in the US, but it isn't my expectation.

Constructive feedback: please choose a more sensible scale for the Y-axis and PNG format, is more suitable for graphs, than JPG.
Nusa:
In the case of the US, it's worth looking at the data at the state level (https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/). They've been together way longer than the EU, but they're still country-sized governments. We haven't been looking at the EU as a whole for the most part, and if we did we'd have a completely different feel for what is happening in Italy.

Right now New York State (population 19.5 million, 8.6 of that in New York City) with 11645 cases, which is nearly half of all cases in the US. Probably more than half in a couple days. Now on a stay-at-home order. What happens here will probably be very instructive to the rest of the country.

Compare that to California (population 39.6 million, 4 million of that in Los Angeles, 1.4 in San Diego, 7+ in the San Francisco bay area cities) with 1274 cases. Which will go up, of course, but the fact it's a tenth of New York cases for twice the population says something. Now on a stay-at-home order statewide, some days earlier for the San Francisco area. I expect the state to fare better than New York, anyway.
thinkfat:

--- Quote from: Zero999 on March 21, 2020, 10:28:30 pm ---
--- Quote from: engrguy42 on March 21, 2020, 09:55:22 pm ---FWIW, I've pretty much stopped following this thread, but I thought I'd jump in and provide some of the latest WHO data for the US. Attached is my Excel graph of total deaths as well as new deaths each day.

The blue bars are total deaths to date, and the yellow are the new deaths each day. Apparently CDC's numbers are higher (for whatever reason...I'm thinking WHO might be a day behind CDC or something) but I thought I'd stick with WHO to make them comparable to the rest of the world.

For the TL;DR crowd, basically the number of new deaths in the US has been pretty flat at between 40 and 50 each day for the last 4 days. I also adjusted the vertical scale to highlight that it's all a matter of perspective. And to allow for the inevitable increase.

--- End quote ---
That's good news, but there's no need for complacency. There will be a lag between people contracting the virus, falling ill and dying. I hope the number of deaths fall in the US, but it isn't my expectation.

Constructive feedback: please choose a more sensible scale for the Y-axis and PNG format, is more suitable for graphs, than JPG.

--- End quote ---

The death count will not fall while the case count rises. Experience has shown that.
Someone:

--- Quote from: thinkfat on March 21, 2020, 11:15:04 pm ---The death count will not fall while the case count rises. Experience has shown that.
--- End quote ---
Death count falling implies zombie apocalypse.
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