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I have the feeling that the whole trade war starts from a pile of nonsense.

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rstofer:

--- Quote from: magic on May 23, 2019, 06:08:49 pm ---As far as I know, H1B isn't getting slashed and I think Trump even said something recently about making the path to full citizenship easier. OTOH, if you plan on going as a student, overstaying your visa and getting a black market job, yep, that's another story.

--- End quote ---

Apparently, H1B renewals are getting hammered and the end result is less H1Bs overall.

https://www.wired.com/story/h-1b-visa-rejections-spike-under-trump/

The gist of it is that the Trump administration is revisiting whether some 'specialty' is really special.  Over time, one could imagine that certain skills become more available in the homegrown market.  As a result, the specialty is downgraded and the H1B visa no longer applies.

More important, 3rd party employers (body shops) are getting hit the hardest.  Direct employment less so.  Body shops got most of the visas because they could flood the system with applications and hope for the best under the lottery.  Individual companies could only apply for openings they actually had.

Where I worked, we had a Canadian fellow working on an H1B connecting up the network infrastructure for a small subsidiary.  I knew a dozen people on our site alone the had those skills, we clearly didn't need an H1B holder to plug in network cables.  He was a nice enough guy, he really had the skills but those skills just didn't seem all that unique.  Look, it was Silicon Valley!  How far would you have to look to find a domestic network guy?

It makes sense to hire the best and brightest but not at the expense of canning a domestic employee or pulling down the wage structure.  There is no 'right' to an H1B visa.

thm_w:

--- Quote from: blueskull on May 23, 2019, 06:58:13 pm ---Because we make more research outcomes than a similar American student, in most of the cases.

--- End quote ---

The problem with using number of papers as a metric is it will get gamed: https://qz.com/978037/china-publishes-more-science-research-with-fabricated-peer-review-than-everyone-else-put-together/
https://www.natureindex.com/country-outputs/generate/All/global/All/score

Your point may be valid, but they need to be more strict about the quality of stuff that gets released. It seems to be getting better the past few years though.

hermit:
I had a customer tell me once that he was invited to join an investing group of mainly US military officials.  The group made a killing using insider trading on military contracts.  This situation is no different.  Insiders knew/know in advance what moves will be made and when and which stocks will be affected and how.

If  you think this is about anything other than funneling money to the 'right people', well.....

soldar:
So much winning!
Trump unveils $16 billion in farm aid to offset trade war losses
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/trump-unveils-dollar16-billion-in-farm-aid-to-offset-trade-war-losses/ar-AABNwF2

maginnovision:

--- Quote from: soldar on May 23, 2019, 08:56:15 pm ---So much winning!
Trump unveils $16 billion in farm aid to offset trade war losses
https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/other/trump-unveils-dollar16-billion-in-farm-aid-to-offset-trade-war-losses/ar-AABNwF2

--- End quote ---

Farmers have always been subsidized here.

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