OT Seattle weather

[Homer J Simpson]

I'm about 50 miles south of Seattle. Looks like were are in for a good one.

Anybody in my neck of the woods?

http://komonews.com/news/local/saturday-wind-storm-could-be-historic-with-wind-gusts-of-60-70-mph-in-puget-sound-region

http://komonews.com/news/local/first-of-pair-of-strong-windstorms-poised-to-strike-tonight

http://komonews.com/weather

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/

[Len]

That looks like it'll be bad, especially considering that Seattle isn't used to weather of any sort. (I remember when I lived there, I had a hard time telling October from June.)

[purfield]

Turned out to be a whole lotta nuthin.

[dannyf]

Turned out to be a whole lotta nuthin.

don't worry about it. while our models cannot predict the weather this afternoon, they do an excellent job predicting climates hundreds of thousands of years into the future, with great confidence to boot,

[Homer J Simpson]

4 independent models and all four turned out to be wrong.

http://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/what-the-heck-went-wrong-with-the-storm-forecast

Here are some pretty good comments from Cliff Mass, University of Washington, Atmospheric Sciences.

" this was not a failure so much of the models, but of communication of uncertainty.    My profession has to stop providing the worst case or most probable weather evolution, but provide society with full probabilistic guidance."

http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/