I give them two more years ...
No way. They can milk the cow, flog the dead horse, and shuffle the deck chairs on the Titanic for a lot longer than that I recon. Plenty left to do
The chances of seeing a truly new scope out of them again is starting to border on zero, unless they have something in the works already...
Dave.
Look at other companies of the same era -
DIGITAL EQUIPMENT & AMPEX.AMPEX led the broadcast technology and video recording industry in
every segment until 'everyone else' had access to low-cost digital processing technology and revived many of the fundamental ideas developed by AMPEX and others.
A couple of missteps (Composite Digital (D2) recording), and the arrival of desktop editing - and they were starting on the slow decline.
Ampex had a last gasp - in they developed an uncompressed 3/4-in digital tape technology (DST) for industrial/defence applications in parallel with their DCT video technology(which lasted about 5 years - then also faded away against Digital-Betacam from Sony). Their DST technology let them hold on to another decade of military recording contracts - but I'm not sure what they're doing now... but they get paid for patents on a lot of tech that was in everyday use through the 1970s-2000s!
DIGITAL EQUIPMENT (DEC) - are a slightly different story.... Leading the minicomputer industry with PDP and VAX systems through the 70s-90s... They didn't handle the transition to personal desktops well, and COMPAQ (of all people) gobbled up the remnants, in turn eaten up and so-on until today.
Life goes on, but disruptive technology does exactly that. Disrupts.
Sadly - all we got out of it was
crappy web pages, and
grey text on white backgrounds!