General > General Technical Chat
Why experts say a solar storm could cause trillions of dollars worth of damage
Marco:
As I've said before they don't have a clue how bad the impact will be, no one is going to pre-emptively shut down until the transformer temperature rises.
SiliconWizard:
With about 30 minutes of advance warning, with the current models, apparently: https://www.nasa.gov/science-research/heliophysics/nasa-enabled-ai-predictions-may-give-time-to-prepare-for-solar-storms/
Or (even though they don't talk about that), maybe the models can predict with a bit more advance that a solar storm will hit Earth altogether, without predicting exactly where. In which case, that would mean shutting down everything on the whole planet for hours or maybe days until something happens. Either way, that would probably not be real fun.
coppercone2:
that is the benefits of a advanced deep space satellite network
keep something between the sun and the earth at 2/3, 1/2 and 1/4 way to issue a signal
Marco:
They can predict something hitting, they can't predict the per transformer induced GIC (depends on the exact reshaping of Earth magnetic field, local soil, orientation of lines, in-line capacitors etc) or how sensitive those transformers are (should long have been a design spec, but wasn't). With so little predictive value, I can't see many operators shutting down pre-emptively.
coppercone2:
probobly easier to stockpile liquor and rice then get the power company to specify something because of space
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