That is what I think too. I just read about IC's for a long time but I never worked with design or manufacturing.
I keep thinking of Au20/Sn80 solder vs Au80/Sn20 solder. The price difference is an order of magnitude. Both are for die attach. But if you read about it you hear of voiding. To me if there is voiding and crack propagation under it, then the crack depending on how it forms can laterally thermally isolate certain sections of the circuits that allow for islands of heat to form, heat that would normally be sinked strait down into the substrate. I think this could make strain on resistors and such and cause offset and gain drifts that are erratic.
What about the size of the die compared to other dies?
One of the problems in explaining a change from in-spec to "drifty" is the fact that it's apparently a permanent change that creeps up over time (I haven't heard anyone complaining about a sudden change). This mostly rules out things like transient temperature-related changes.
Another big question is whether drifting is inevitable - does it eventually happen to all of them, and the non-drifty ones are just late to the party? I don't think the answer is clear, is it?
HP/Agilent would not be scrimping on materials for such an exotic and no-doubt very expensive chip. It's hard to say if solder or conductive epoxy was used in this case from what little I've seen.
I discount the crack idea because that would probably cause a discontinuous change or a failure of the entire chip. Voids can and do occur when using high-volume, high-speed packaging, but probably not with the care that HP would have put into these parts.
Strain on the resistor network is plausible. It would change the resistor values slightly, but the question is by how much, and how much a change would affect performance. For example, matched resistors on the same die and under the same strain would likely stay well matched.
Also, such strain would have to be
new and permanent for the performance to change from normal spec to "drifty." Temperature changes would be the obvious source of a change in strain, e.g. by mismatched TC's, and that would be seen on its own if it's large enough - but I don't see how it would cause permanent changes. What else is could?
Another possibility is poisoning of the resistor network by outgassing from the attachment material (e.g. solder) or the lid-attach material. However, I presume that the resistor network includes a good protective passivation layer. That might not be good enough over lengthly time, of course, but I mostly doubt this one too.
The size of the die could be estimated by measuring the width of the package cavity vs. the die. I haven't done that, but it's pretty easy. Larger dies are more susceptible to issues than small ones, but I don't see explanatory power here since they are all the same size anyway.
The fact that this machine has barely been used might offer a clue.