Not satisfied with the 10pF rule-of-thumb, I decided to measure the parasitic capacitance for AVR IO pins. While 10pF may be a reasonable number for a chip and a trace a couple cm long, the capacitance of a floating pin with no trace is as low as 6pF. Even with an attached trace and header, and plugged into a breadboard, parasitic capacitance is as low as 7pF with a QFN-32 ATmega328p.
http://nerdralph.blogspot.ca/2015/10/parasitic-capacitance-of-avr-mcu-pins.html