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Electronics => Projects, Designs, and Technical Stuff => Topic started by: Griffin on February 12, 2013, 10:24:51 am

Title: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Griffin on February 12, 2013, 10:24:51 am
Hi every1

Just an idea I want to put out there if anyone is interested. After listening to The Amp Hour podcast #132 Dave and Chris talked about the idea of electronics being inherently more reliable because they where allot less complicated in the olden days and it made me think:

What if we took some of the leading hobby platforms like Arduino, Raspberry Pi … and designed a project for them aimed at working for the next 10 to 20 year uninterrupted. Sort of a statement for future generations.

What do you think? Any ideas, goals or just plain wacky things we could do
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Ed.Kloonk on February 12, 2013, 10:41:03 am
20 Years? Nice idea if you could make the arduino run for just 20 hours without a reboot.

 |O
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: JoeyP on February 12, 2013, 10:45:54 am
That sounds like a good idea. Maybe something as simple as a perpetual clock powered by scavenged RF power - though AM radio stations will probably be entirely replaced by the internet within 20 years.

I bought a digital clock for $0.50 at a garage sale more than 30 years ago, which has been running continuously since that time (9V battery back-up during power outages - but no display on backup).
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Griffin on February 12, 2013, 11:36:15 am
Figured it would need to be powered by something else than divine power but that’s where the trick comes in. Make it something powered by Solar, Heat, Interchangeable batteries something like that.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: SLJ on February 12, 2013, 12:10:25 pm
I've got digital meters older than that that still work untouched and tube radios from the 1920s.  20 years is nothing.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: EEVblog on February 12, 2013, 12:17:07 pm
The basic project would be a clock of course. Just tick over the seconds until last reboot.
The hard part is ensuring the battery source lasts, and you have a fail proof change-over mechanism.
And then if it does reboot, what does that actually tell you? Has it actually failed in some way, or is that just some outside transient event that the Arduino/Pi/Whatever was never designed against? (e.g. cosmic rays)

Dave.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Griffin on February 12, 2013, 12:18:18 pm
20 years for old school tech yes..... but what about an embedded system from the current year. How reliable with they be in 20 years time.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Griffin on February 12, 2013, 12:25:08 pm
I apologize for double posting this at another form but wanted to see the responses. JohanEkdahl over at AVRFreaks.net suggested a time capsule idea. Something with an embedded message that gets lost if the device looses power or something interrupts the main loop.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: G7PSK on February 12, 2013, 02:10:40 pm
Run for twenty years continuously without external power supply and battery changes, first find some plutonium, the rest should be fairly easy just a 555 flashing an led would do.https://www.eevblog.com/forum/Smileys/default/smiley_laughing.gif (https://www.eevblog.com/forum/Smileys/default/smiley_laughing.gif)
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: AlfBaz on February 12, 2013, 03:29:21 pm
It would be interesting to see if the flash in these embeded things would last the claimed time if they were continuously on
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Griffin on February 12, 2013, 03:30:30 pm
@G7PSK i think your missing the point here. The objective is to design something on a hobby level using a hobby based embedded system add battery backup, mains/solar power or all of them and design it to work for 10 - 20 years. Think of the considerations that would need to be made. Part lifetimes, battery choice, power decay, backup backup power, standby time. Everything a million dollars would get you at NASA but built by hobbyists.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: westfw on February 12, 2013, 04:14:16 pm
Quote
the idea of electronics being inherently more reliable because they where allot less complicated in the olden days
Isn't that a lot different than "run on a 20y power source"?  I mean, power sources are still about as reliable as they ever were (assuming, I guess, a design other than those counterfeit switchers), and I think both batteries and grid power are better than they used to be.

The main reason that electronics doesn't last is that we know it's going to be "obsolete" in 5 years anyway, and we treat it (and build it) accordingly.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: free_electron on February 12, 2013, 04:22:41 pm
20 years ? That's not a measure of quality. There's HP 200 oscillators out there that were built in 195x that still work today... They survive power surges , dropping them, shorting the output , overloading the output. Whatever. You're gonna need some serious protection on that hadwino. Start by finding a rad-hard atmel cpu...

Take a look at the following project : the clock of the long now. It ticks once a year.. Designed to run for 10000 years. Designed by Danny Hillis ( yes, THE Danny Hillis that invented the connection machine. The worlds craziest supercomputer )

Longnow.org
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Griffin on February 12, 2013, 07:36:28 pm
The idea is not to design a system that will run of a single charge for 20 years or to measure quality but to build a device from ordinary off the shelf parts that will trigger something stored and kept active in memory at the end of that time period. This would then force a design that can keep that device up and running for 20 years just to complete that 1 task at the end of the time period.

With a deliberate failsafe build in that if power is interrupted what was in memory is unrecoverable or change the outcome.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: JoeyP on February 12, 2013, 08:52:43 pm
20 years ? That's not a measure of quality. There's HP 200 oscillators out there that were built in 195x that still work today...

I don't think he's talking about something that could be used occasionally, and still be able to power up after 20 years. I think he's talking about continuous uninterrupted operation for 20 years. Those old HP 200 oscillators may still be functional, but they  have not run 24 hours a day with zero maintenance since 195x.

Just don't build it lead free :)
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Alana on February 12, 2013, 11:23:00 pm
Are we talking about continuous running for more than 10 years or are we talking about device that will not brake if actively used for those 10-20 years?
I'd concentrate on the latter - to make something that would be useful after those years. For example - i have a digital multimeter - clone of  M890G that i got more than 10 years ago and its still working. And i wonder if my unitek that i got last year will work after same period of time.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: TerraHertz on February 13, 2013, 04:22:34 am
Why think so small? Go for 10,000 years. Like these people:

  http://longnow.org/clock/ (http://longnow.org/clock/)
  The 10,000 Year Clock


Personally I'd like to make something solar powered that would last 100 years.
Last time I tried something like this, I made the mistake of including batteries, that got charged by the solar cells. BIG mistake.

See pics. It's a kind of sound-light sculpture. Solar cells charge battery, and also the light level is sampled regularly and the sample makes the latest 'note' in a ring buffer that plays a tune while the thing is illuminated. Well, more of a droning-chirping, but anyway... It takes a few days to overwrite the ring buffer, so the tune playing at any time is a kind of reflection of the recent sunlight profile. The more sunlight, the more cheerful it sounds. The 'speaker' is a piezo disk glued to an inside face of the sealed glass cube.
Also, there's a flash tube that fires at random times, about once a day. Including in the dark. Quite amusing when it goes off nearby in the dark unexpectedly.

Too bad the whole idea was sabotaged by shitty NiCad battery technology, and the thing is sealed so the batteries can't be replaced without cutting it open. And since I know of no battery technology that would last a respectable number of years, there's no point. Idea = fail.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: TerraHertz on February 13, 2013, 04:51:22 am
JohanEkdahl over at AVRFreaks.net suggested a time capsule idea. Something with an embedded message that gets lost if the device looses power or something interrupts the main loop.

Why would you want to make it lose the data if power was lost?

Also, it should be something that is continuously interesting, for as long as it lasts. Not just a one-pop wonder.

How about this:
Solar powered weatherproof object. Power is stored in a supercap so it can operate through brief intervals of darkness. It has a microphone, and a speaker (both impervious to weather), a VOX circuit with software analysis to detect human voices. Over the course of a day it records in CMOS ram just the first 30 seconds of any voice sequences that contain at least 30 seconds of continuous speech. At the end of each day it compresses and transfers ONE of those sequences (randomly chosen) to a large flash memory. Typical flash memories should be able to hold centuries of such once-a-day fragments. Organized as a ring buffer, the data doesn't start to get overwritten until full - in hundreds of years? Also the system should once a year or so, do a 'rewrite' of the entire memory to refresh the cell charges. Minimize the wear on the flash cells, but don't let the data 'evaporate' over time.

During daylight hours, every day, it will also now and then randomly select fragments from its sounds archive, and play them back. Maybe two or three times a day. Or maybe it would do it as payment for someone talking to it.

I'd imagine this as some kind of very solid stainless steel pillar, set into bedrock in scenic, not-so easy to reach places, that not so many people would visit. The idea would be that people could speak to it, knowing their voices *might* be preserved and sometimes played back, for centuries. If only one person visits in a single day, their words are guaranteed to be preserved.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: G7PSK on February 13, 2013, 02:04:17 pm
@G7PSK i think your missing the point here. The objective is to design something on a hobby level using a hobby based embedded system add battery backup, mains/solar power or all of them and design it to work for 10 - 20 years. Think of the considerations that would need to be made. Part lifetimes, battery choice, power decay, backup backup power, standby time. Everything a million dollars would get you at NASA but built by hobbyists.

I was being facetious I will admit. The problem with building any electronic item that will survive ten or twenty years is not only the battery but also such things as capacitors, will will often go toes up without use, the fact that some items of electronics are running after many years is more to chance than design in most cases. It takes the type of component that NASA uses in its deep space probes to be sure of a long life.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: ignator on February 14, 2013, 09:26:28 pm
Small nanometer silicon geometries, and very small and close spacing of metalization layers, are already leading to failure of consumer electronics.  It does not take high current densities (this accelerates the process), especially if constant power is applied for 20 years.
This is a problem in avionics today (my domain, this specific area is not), and it's an issue especially when aircraft life can exceed 50 years.  Avionics upgrades are done in a 20-25 year period, but only now is this industry dealing with nanometer geometry.
Now mix in the small geometries that have large cross sections, with single neutron upset events, and you will have a state machine reset, even without component failure.
If you want to do this, go back to the earliest generation of electronics that are low power enough for 20 year operation.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: JackOfVA on February 15, 2013, 01:52:52 am
One of the more challenging "design for long term reliability" projects was the Bell System's first US-Europe voice cable system (TAT-1) --all vacuum tubes, of course. And, it's not a trivial task to replace a failed vacuum tube when it's several thousand feet deep in sea water in the middle of the Atlantic.

The January 1957 Bell System Technical Journal is devoted to TAT-1 http://www3.alcatel-lucent.com/bstj/vol36-1957/bstj-vol36-issue01.html (http://www3.alcatel-lucent.com/bstj/vol36-1957/bstj-vol36-issue01.html) -- makes for interesting reading.

Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: lapm on February 15, 2013, 11:18:50 am
I would say this idea of 20 years project starts to go dangerously close to something nasa engineers does. Systems with multiply failsafes, etc... In fact thats probably how it should be treated..  2 decades starts to be long enough time frame that ageing effects of components and materials starts to play big role on desing. Not to mention few other things i cant event dream about...

But nasa has one trick that might help to get this started, use the oldest tech you can find. Chips that are no so highly integrated, etc... Those now retired spaceshuttles had really really old tech in flight computers.

I cant even imagine how current plastic capsulated few nanometer line width microcontrollers would even work for 20 years from now. Thermal cycles, oxygen creeps in, etc... Would be interesting to find out. Anyone got time machine?  ???
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: GK on February 15, 2013, 12:45:29 pm
My K-mart cheapo "Audiosound" digital alarm clock has been going since about 1994.  Must have been designed by NASA :P
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: G7PSK on February 15, 2013, 01:10:44 pm
The only sure way of having something working in twenty years time is to build several million of them, then the law of averages might work for you.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: george graves on February 15, 2013, 11:43:09 pm
20 Years? Nice idea if you could make the arduino run for just 20 hours without a reboot.

 |O

What makes you say that?
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: mzzj on February 16, 2013, 01:20:11 am
I would say this idea of 20 years project starts to go dangerously close to something nasa engineers does. Systems with multiply failsafes, etc... In fact thats probably how it should be treated..  2 decades starts to be long enough time frame that ageing effects of components and materials starts to play big role on desing. Not to mention few other things i cant event dream about...

But nasa has one trick that might help to get this started, use the oldest tech you can find. Chips that are no so highly integrated, etc... Those now retired spaceshuttles had really really old tech in flight computers.

I cant even imagine how current plastic capsulated few nanometer line width microcontrollers would even work for 20 years from now. Thermal cycles, oxygen creeps in, etc... Would be interesting to find out. Anyone got time machine?  ???
Just look around your(parents)  ;) home and You will probably find plenty of 20 years old electronics. Anything low-powered and chances for 30´+ years lifetime  are pretty good.
Of course everything depends on the required reliability level. 5% failure rate for 20 years sounds pretty easy and  0.00001% failure rate per 20 years would be freaking scary.

Even NASA is(was) running ordinary modern laptops on ISS (and shuttles)  but not for mission critical systems!
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: SeanB on February 16, 2013, 06:21:04 am
Did you see the way NASA handles failure on those laptops? Pop out a spare from storage, plug it in and carry on, with the old one kept as spare parts until the next time a Progress module is near full, when they put them in for incineration over the Pacific. Bit of a problem for the guy on the ground who signed for it, at audit he says - went up on to ISS and was destroyed over Pacific, sorry no idea when.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Harvs on February 18, 2013, 11:53:38 am
In Oz at least you can look around the streets and you'll see plenty of cars 25yrs old that are EFI.  There's not too many every day electronic devices that put up with as harsh a life as those in a car's engine bay being driven to work and back every day.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Psi on February 18, 2013, 12:17:11 pm
He's a cool project with long term design requirements.

An underground file server...

You build the thing inside an industrial IP68 metal box (that wont rust/corrode over 10 years) Maybe use a proper time capsule or something.
Inside the box your mount...
- Low power PC like a raspberry pi  (maybe even a second backup one)
- Reliable array of data storage (usb / ssd or server grade hdd etc..)
- Supercapacitor based backup power supply. Should be able to get an hour or so running a pi on supercaps.
- watchdog reset system with the ability to disconnect faulty peripherals that may die and prevent the PC from starting.
- 802.11n Wifi router plus a backup.
- Some sort of passive cooling system, eg all heat sources bolted to the metal box
- The only physical connection to the box is 230V power
- LED light and webcam inside, just for kicks.

Then you dig a big hole and bury the thing in your backyard so the top of it is ~10cm below ground level. Run underground power cable to it and fixed wire that to the house somewhere. (Ideally you'd use a radioisotope thermoelectric generator to power the thing, like the mars rover has, but getting one might be a little hard  :P )

The goal is to have something in your backyard that will run for 10+ years without physical maintenance. You'd control and talk to it over wifi.
You can store all your *ahem* legally purchased TV shows on it plus backup your files in case your house burns down.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: Griffin on February 24, 2013, 08:19:32 pm
@Psi that is actually a nice idea. Build it with the idea that it will become the worlds longest running file server. I think that will be a worth file project. Cast the thing in solid potting just before you put it in the ground.
Title: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: ddavidebor on February 24, 2013, 10:56:10 pm
Less things you use less things can broke

Computer broke everytime

Old-school 74xx electronic is more rugged
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: JPL on March 02, 2013, 11:02:42 am
that's right, my digital clock based on TTL circuits made as my school project in 1978 is working continuously since that time and without any problem. Also every day I still use my HP9815 calculator.  It is working including tape cartridge. Let me one question: where will be PCs with xxx GHz Pentium of today in year 2050 ?  :)
Title: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: ddavidebor on March 03, 2013, 08:02:24 am
Inthe trash
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: mzzj on March 03, 2013, 09:22:12 pm

How about 20 year constant-on LED flashlight? :D

I just checked and old crappy Cree XR-E led will produce enough light to read a book couple of alphabets at a time with 10 uA.
Even without time for my eyes to adapt to the darkness I was able to see alphabets on roughly 4 cm2 area.

With good quality 2 Ah Lithium battery you get roughly 2 decades of light  :-+

No need for unreliable switches, you can just cover the led with a plug when you don't need light.
Title: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: ddavidebor on March 03, 2013, 09:48:45 pm
You should use something like 30-50w led with 0.5w only, so extremely underpowered...

I think it will be more durable.
Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: mzzj on March 03, 2013, 10:05:38 pm
You should use something like 30-50w led with 0.5w only, so extremely underpowered...


I bet it won't run 20 years non-stop with single small battery ;)

Title: Re: The 10 or 20 year electronics project
Post by: JoeyP on February 16, 2024, 06:38:50 am
That sounds like a good idea. Maybe something as simple as a perpetual clock powered by scavenged RF power - though AM radio stations will probably be entirely replaced by the internet within 20 years.

I bought a digital clock for $0.50 at a garage sale more than 30 years ago, which has been running continuously since that time (9V battery back-up during power outages - but no display on backup).

The end of an era! The clock that I mentioned in this previous post, purchased for $0.50 in ~1982, has finally died! Amazingly, the main chip (TI TMS3450NL) can still be purchased NEW at DigiKey more than 40 years later! But at $25.72/ea they make my $0.50 clock look very expensive. I figure at an average cost of $0.0125/year I got my money's worth out of it, so I gave it a decent burial  ;D Guess it's time I bought something a little more modern, maybe even from this century ::)