Thanks for your answers.
After pulling the scope out and making some measurements on the LED supplies the backlight quit completely, only giving a blink on power-up. Measurements were between +LED and ground (not -LED). Not much to be noticed anyway, a little more ripple on the supply to the lower strips than the upper.
Checked the led voltage with the megohmmeter (@1.2mA) both strings read around 60V and lit faintly. All that was telling me was that no string was completely open.
Tied both strings in series got the lab supply out to see how they'd perform with a typical usage current and warm-up.
With my supply at maximum voltage (200V) I couldn't get the current above 100mA. Checking string voltages gave 73V and 127V, the lower side being the suspicious one.
Rechecked both strings supplied separately, upper good, lower bad, flickers at around 90mA. Pulled the thermal cam out out of curiosity, found the hot spot from behind

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Some panels can be disassembled leaving the LCD face down, this one had to be undone front to back making things a lot more delicate.
Once inside the defect is easily (black-) spotted, no doubt my lab supply testing made things worse, the PCB has a hole charred into it. Went looking for a spare LED strip.but didn't have the right one of course... Checked prices, panel is disassembled on the dining table, can't wait for an order.
Decided to scratch the charcoal away and replace the LED pulling one from a similar spare strip.
Luckily there's enough cathode plane remaining to solder to, the anode has to be wired to the track before the hole in the PCB.
Tested after replacement with lab supply, took a thermal picture just to make sure the replaced LED wasn't running hot due to poor cathode connection. Some of the original LED's run hotter.
Reassembled trying to limit the panel contamination, had to fight the insects too because I was working with windows open...