15W @ 50Ω = 39 Vpk
Magnetic loop for a short wave has Q up to 2000, so the capacitor needs to work for at least with 39*2000 = 78000 V
If your magnetic loop has worse Q, you can decrease voltage rating for capacitor.
The main issue for mechanical variable capacitor is Q factor, look for double capacitors which use rotor as connection between two capacitors, it allows to minimize resistance.Vacuum variable capacitors are much better for that, but they are expensive.
Also note, that using magnetic loop for transmission is not safe for your health, this is because magnetic loop antenna has very short size in comparison to wavelength and as result it needs to use high Q in order to compensate its small size. It means that such small antenna has extreme high H and E field strength near antenna which exceeds all safety limits many times...
I tried to play with magnetic loops in the past, it is funny to see how it fire all neon and gas-discharge lamps within 1-2 meters even if you put just 5-10 Watt. But then when I realize how strong E and H field it uses, I decided to not use it. It's better to use more large antennas, because they are more safe.