Emissivity is important if the surface of the bulb where you are measuring is glossy or reflective. This would make the surface a low-emissivity one and make IR measurements difficult. Note that some LED bulbs have a plastic diffuser that is higher emissivity and will assist surface measurements.
HOWEVER, there will likely be little heat at the surface of the diffuser. The LED lights produce little IR, and the diffuser will not get too warm from the visible light alone since it is designed to pass rather than absorb these wavelengths. It's the power supply in these devices that tend to get warm as they convert between line and LED voltage.
Run the LED for a while, then remove from its socket and check the temperature of the base; you might be surprised at what you find. If you get close enough with the IR sensor you can probably pick up the temperature of the base through the diffuser.
Beuford