Old news. I claimed that it was impossible on this tech forum years ago in a Musk thread and that others will eventually beat him to it within the next 15 years (now around 12 left) and I was booed and disciplined about Musk's greatness and fantastic 2 super neuro chips were overkill and impossible to fail...
For anyone who watches CSS, even though Thunderf00t has Musk derangement syndrome, is arrogant and hardly admits any mistakes, he's a scientist and overall a knowledgeable guy who is worth watching once in a while. CSS is just a stupid grifter who feeds on Musk hate exclusively and his content falls apart under slightest scrutiny. You need to keep your head deep in the ass to like and trust all that CSS says.
That said, what examples do you have for CSS’ work falling apart under scrutiny?
I’m not being a dick. I genuinely just would like to know as like to make my own informed decisions and would be happy to say I am wrong if I am
That said, what examples do you have for CSS’ work falling apart under scrutiny?
I’m not being a dick. I genuinely just would like to know as like to make my own informed decisions and would be happy to say I am wrong if I amHere is an example of his Starlink debunking video taken apart (note it consists of 4 parts, links on the bottom) https://littlebluena.substack.com/p/common-sense-skeptic-debunking-starlink
I claimed that it was impossible on this tech forum years ago in a Musk thread and that others will eventually beat him to it within the next 15 years
Old news. I claimed that it was impossible on this tech forum years ago in a Musk thread and that others will eventually beat him to it within the next 15 years (now around 12 left) and I was booed and disciplined about Musk's greatness and fantastic 2 super neuro chips were overkill and impossible to fail...
Old news. I claimed that it was impossible on this tech forum years ago in a Musk thread and that others will eventually beat him to it within the next 15 years (now around 12 left) and I was booed and disciplined about Musk's greatness and fantastic 2 super neuro chips were overkill and impossible to fail...
But it's pretty clear that Tesla are quite far ahead on FSD and that provided they can continue to iterate on safety and reliability, they can fundamentally achieve driverless operation at SAE Level 4 at least. (They are at SAE Level 3 currently.)
But it's pretty clear that Tesla are quite far ahead on FSD and that provided they can continue to iterate on safety and reliability, they can fundamentally achieve driverless operation at SAE Level 4 at least. (They are at SAE Level 3 currently.)
Tesla's Autopilot is at SAE level 2, despite the marketing.
Yes, it's level 2 technically. However SAE level tells very little about actual capability and more about how much driver attention is needed. You can do pretty useless autopilot with no requirement to keep your hands on steering wheel but which only works on some pre-mapped straight highways, with 40 mph speed limit, only in perfect weather, and call it SAE level 3. So it's only useable in traffic jams on those certain perfect situations, hi Mercedes.
By the way things look nowadays, it might be sooner than your 12 years. IIRC BMW and Mercedes are quite far along and operate at a higher readiness level compared to Tesla.
Yes, it's level 2 technically. However SAE level tells very little about actual capability
Old news. I claimed that it was impossible on this tech forum years ago in a Musk thread and that others will eventually beat him to it within the next 15 years (now around 12 left) and I was booed and disciplined about Musk's greatness and fantastic 2 super neuro chips were overkill and impossible to fail...
Yeah... it's CLEARLY impossible...
https://youtu.be/watch?v=nAxHWS5i_W0
Old news. I claimed that it was impossible on this tech forum years ago in a Musk thread and that others will eventually beat him to it within the next 15 years (now around 12 left) and I was booed and disciplined about Musk's greatness and fantastic 2 super neuro chips were overkill and impossible to fail...
Yeah... it's CLEARLY impossible...
https://youtu.be/watch?v=nAxHWS5i_W0
Yup, after seeing that, another 10 years away. Don't get me wrong, improvements are being made, but place that car in downtown New York, with hundreds of pedestrians at each corner, plus cyclists and motorbikes swerving, squeezing between cars, dogs running across the road... with all that steering hesitation and braking at the slightest question... Streets lined with double parked cabs & buses making aggressive moves into lanes, current FSD is nowhere near ready nor does it yet have more than the initial image & environment recognition. It's missing the understanding and intent recognition of all the other actors it sees on the road. But that level of recognition will come and what you showed me in that video will be looked upon like us being fools to trust such simplistic dangerous garbage in a decade when we will see the first authentic FSD cars which will come with no steering wheel or gas/accelerator pedals installed.
I find myself in the middle. I think there is a lot to like about electric cars. They aren't the answer to everything, but they do have a real place in the market. Same with self driving in cars. The Tesla product does an amazing job. It can't deliver enough 9s to satisfy most peoples standards for self driving capability, but it is pretty damn impressive. Just step back for a moment and think about it. The evidence is pretty clear that it will deliver a 99.9% chance of completing a trip safely. I don't really know what the real number is but suspect that it has a couple more nines in it. The general standard in risk management circles is that it needs six nines for deployment of a truly necessary function. Don't know if the legal profession has a real definition. And definitely self driving is optional so more than six nines would be required if that was the only criteria. But this is an area where the current technology (human beings) doesn't deliver that level of performance. In a purely rational world the self driving cars would only have to perform as well or better than humans, but in several threads on this forum and elsewhere it is clear that that won't be allowed here.
Bottom line, Tesla isn't good enough for prime time now, and definitely oversold their capability. Whether that is lying or simply not thinking through how good it needs to be is unknown to me. But I see no evidence that Tesla won't get there (maybe by adding sensors, maybe by better software, maybe by better limits on where it can be applied or something else), and no evidence of who will get there first. And really no reason to toss them completely to the curb. Overselling is not unique to Tesla in this area. Other companies have had just as much hubris, but without the financial resources or market position to dig themselves as deep a hole.
Andrej Karpathy, who formerly was head of AI for Tesla’s Autopilot and FSD products, outlined their reasoning behind removing both the radar and ultrasonics from Tesla cars, as well as never using LIDAR or maps. While Elon Musk is best known for making statements on this, Karpathy was his go-to guy on backing up that reasoning. Karpathy raised eyebrows, however, when earlier this year he took a sabbatical from the job and eventually announced he would leave it.
“I think over time during those five years; I’ve kind of gotten myself into a little bit of a managerial position. Most of my days were, you know, meetings and growing the organization and making decisions about sort of high-level strategic decisions about the team and what it should be working on and so on.”
“And it’s kind of like a corporate executive role, and I can do it. I think I’m okay at it, but it’s not like fundamentally what I enjoy, and so I think when I joined, there was no computer vision team because Tesla was just going from the transition of using Mobileye, a third-party vendor, for all of its computer vision to having to build its computer vision system. So when I showed up, there were two people training deep neural networks.”