Author Topic: How is Chipageddon affecting you?  (Read 413130 times)

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Online Messtechniker

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1375 on: July 20, 2022, 09:39:09 am »
There is a possibility that "December 2023" is only a place holder date. :palm:
Seen such before.
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Offline Dankoozy

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1376 on: July 20, 2022, 10:06:57 am »
How come Chinese suppliers don't run out of components? Is the CCP subsidising them or threatening to kick them out if they don't get all the chips first?
 

Offline AndyC_772

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1377 on: July 20, 2022, 10:11:09 am »
Either:

a) They don't actually have the chips at all, and are flat out lying, or
b) they do have them, but the price they're trying to charge is so outrageously eye-watering that nobody buys them.

Try asking for a quote for the specific item you're after, you'll soon find out which is the case.
 
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Offline Mangozac

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1378 on: July 20, 2022, 10:24:59 am »
There is a possibility that "December 2023" is only a place holder date. :palm:
Seen such before.
I don't know which option is more disturbing  :o
 

Offline JPortici

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1379 on: July 20, 2022, 11:01:46 am »
a) They don't actually have the chips at all, and are flat out lying, or

nooooooo why would anyone lie on the internet?
 
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Offline Karel

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1380 on: July 20, 2022, 01:08:40 pm »
a) They don't actually have the chips at all, and are flat out lying, or

nooooooo why would anyone lie on the internet?

nooooooo why would anyone lie?

 

Offline fourfathom

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1381 on: July 20, 2022, 03:07:21 pm »
Quote
How come Chinese suppliers don't run out of components? Is the CCP subsidising them or threatening to kick them out if they don't get all the chips first?
Either:

a) They don't actually have the chips at all, and are flat out lying, or
b) they do have them, but the price they're trying to charge is so outrageously eye-watering that nobody buys them.

Try asking for a quote for the specific item you're after, you'll soon find out which is the case.

FWIW I recently tried to buy some high-speed comparators and fast glue-logic chips from DigiKey and Mouser -- no stock.  I went to LCSC and got them cheaper (using the slow delivery option).  Of course I ended up buying other parts so the shipping cost didn't totally dominate the order. 

So: in stock, and not outrageously priced.
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Offline tom66

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1382 on: July 20, 2022, 03:27:08 pm »
LCSC stock is probably genuine but I have my doubts about many of the distributors on Octopart - I think the amounts are just plausible ones to generate enquiries.
 

Offline fourfathom

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1383 on: July 20, 2022, 03:36:17 pm »
LCSC stock is probably genuine but I have my doubts about many of the distributors on Octopart - I think the amounts are just plausible ones to generate enquiries.
I've been happy with the LCSC parts.  Most of the semiconductors I get from them aren't ones in hot demand so are unlikely to be pulls / re-marked / sweepings / etc.  They look like actual OEM parts, and they function as expected.
We'll search out every place a sick, twisted, solitary misfit might run to! -- I'll start with Radio Shack.
 

Offline IDEngineer

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1384 on: July 20, 2022, 06:28:05 pm »
I have my doubts about many of the distributors on Octopart - I think the amounts are just plausible ones to generate enquiries.
As I've mentioned, many times when I search OctoPart or FindChips I see several "brokers" listing the exact same oddball quantity of a given part. For example, they will have 323 pieces of a certain connector. That's not a standard boxed quantity, AFAIK there's nothing special about such a number.

Possibilities:

* There's just ONE broker listing their stock under multiple company names

* One actually has stock and the others are running a script that copies that number, figuring if they get the order they'll buy it from the first broker
 

Offline Mangozac

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1385 on: July 21, 2022, 04:53:46 am »
* One actually has stock and the others are running a script that copies that number, figuring if they get the order they'll buy it from the first broker
Without implying whether it's good or bad, that's a pretty standard Chinese entrepreneurial approach.
 

Offline IDEngineer

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Offline Mangozac

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1387 on: July 22, 2022, 01:38:56 am »
Today's speculation: https://www.reuters.com/technology/global-manufacturers-see-chip-shortage-easing-2022-07-21/
That must be where all of the allocation from us smaller companies are going, as the situation seems to be worsening again for us :(
 

Offline VK3DRBTopic starter

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1388 on: July 23, 2022, 06:38:40 am »
On TI's website, a fairly new design chip had 13K pcs. Two days later later there were 31K of them. Maybe there was a cancelled order somewhere - if so, we might be seeing more this if recession starts to hit.

TI charges only $0.44 cents per chip for singles :-+.
One scumbag broker calling themselves Win Source has them at $50.57 each :palm:.

That is one good thing about TI, when they do have chips they are the cheapest around. No greedy middlemen who provide no value add at all.
 

Offline tom66

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1389 on: July 23, 2022, 03:31:20 pm »
I've said it before but I do think some of the 'scalping' companies (even if I think they are a necessity) are going to be 'bag-holders' sooner or later.  The supply is starting to come back for many parts, shortages are clearly easing.
 

Offline PlainName

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1390 on: July 23, 2022, 04:01:49 pm »
If they've made a killing so far, what do they care that they hold parts which still have value, other than stashing them somewhere? They can either sell them at no loss, or a small loss, or just keep them for the next shortage.
 

Offline tom66

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1391 on: July 23, 2022, 04:25:22 pm »
There's still the opportunity cost and risk of tying that money in parts, plus the cost of warehousing and possibly borrowing money to buy parts.

But, like all investments, it carries risk   :popcorn:
 

Offline SiliconWizard

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Offline tom66

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1393 on: July 23, 2022, 10:30:12 pm »
Last I heard with the Spartan 6 (45nm) was that Xilinx were requalifying it for a TSMC process.  The current process is Samsung in origin, but Apple just outbid everyone else for capacity at Samsung's fabs, and Samsung are also supplying a lot of automotive stuff at the larger processes (typically not on the bleeding edge).  The 7 series (Zynq, Artix-7, etc.) is TSMC 28nm, and whilst it's not exactly in vast supply, you can get parts easily enough. :phew:

I am so glad we do not have any 6 series devices in our products, really dodged a bullet there.
 

Offline KE5FX

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1394 on: July 23, 2022, 11:02:21 pm »
The 7 series (Zynq, Artix-7, etc.) is TSMC 28nm, and whilst it's not exactly in vast supply, you can get parts easily enough. :phew:

For definitions of "easily enough" that include:

 

Offline MT

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1395 on: July 24, 2022, 01:12:32 am »
And now, bank runs in China, met with tanks!
 

Offline Kasper

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1396 on: July 24, 2022, 06:42:08 am »
Today's speculation: https://www.reuters.com/technology/global-manufacturers-see-chip-shortage-easing-2022-07-21/


Quote from: ABB's Rosengren
said he expected a slowdown in inflation, with commodities prices going down and interest rate hikes by central banks taking effect.

Canada's central bank just raised interest rate 100 points.  Going up quickly: from 0.25% to 2.5% in half a year.

It has impacted housing.  Prices peaked this spring.  Bidding wars have moved from the home purchase market to the rental market which may not have peaked yet.

I'm guessing demand for consumer electronics will be slowing down as well, if it hasn't already.
 

Offline tom66

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1397 on: July 24, 2022, 09:00:59 am »
For definitions of "easily enough" that include:

We're buying grey market at $100 a chip, normally $60 for Zynq 7010.  But that's 500 at a time via negotiated broker channels.
 

Offline EEEnthusiast

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1398 on: July 25, 2022, 12:23:07 pm »
And now, bank runs in China, met with tanks!

Tanks to protect Banks. That's some rhyming.
Only if they had bought some micro chips instead of parking money in the banks..
« Last Edit: July 25, 2022, 12:25:55 pm by EEEnthusiast »
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Offline pryanbeng

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Re: How is Chipageddon affecting you?
« Reply #1399 on: July 26, 2022, 05:54:57 pm »
How come Chinese suppliers don't run out of components? Is the CCP subsidising them or threatening to kick them out if they don't get all the chips first?

None of the chinese companies are official suppliers they are resellers selling the component for a huge markup. I had to order from them in a pinch last year.  I had some intel, from a trusted component sourcer we work with, that in some cases many of the companies are all pulling from the same reel and same broker.
 


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