I am not sure what you are saying about a 'thought'. Who was talking about a thought, or did I say something that sounded like I was talking about a thought?
I brought up the thought analogy to explain why a photon does not need to have a position, size, or trajectory in spacetime. A thought is a useful analogy because it shows how something can be a perfectly meaningful and useful concept for reasoning, while not existing as a separate object in spacetime.
In other words, I am using a thought as an example of how a concept can be useful without being a spacetime object and why trying to interpret such a concept as an object in spacetime is a mistake.
For me, a probability is the closest we can get to reality at least for now. The reason for this is that there simply is nothing else.
We can never know where anything is, we can only know the probability of where it might be. This gets very deep too.
If we throw a coin over a wall and it lands on the ground where we can't see over the wall, we don't know how the coin landed. It is heads up or tails up. We don't know, and we cannot assume that it is either heads or tails (or on edge as some people like to throw in there). It is in a state of in between. It's neither heads nor tails, but something else that could be heads, tails, on edge, or something else in between.
Why is that so. It's because our reality depends hugely on observation. Everything we see and measure depends on observation, so everything we know is based on observation. We base all of our knowledge on what we have observed in the past. Nature does not seem to care about how we observe something, it does what it wants to do. In common knowledge, what we observe is usually what we get, but it's not always like that. If nature wants to do something or have properties that we can't ever observe, there's not much we can do about it, and it turns out that is what nature does sometimes, unfortunate as it is for us when we try to understand it.
I agree that physics does not give us a God's-eye view of reality. But I think there is an important distinction between uncertainty in our knowledge and indeterminacy in the physical system itself.
For example, if a classical coin has fallen behind a wall, the fact that we don't know whether it is heads or tails does not mean that the coin is physically in some intermediate state. Our description is uncertain, but the coin itself is not in an intermediate state.
A quantum state is not a classical spacetime object with a definite position, size, and trajectory. And there is no need to replace every statement about reality with "we only know probabilities".
A model can tell us exactly which concepts and quantities are meaningful within that model. So we don't have to decide what the "ultimate reality" is before deciding whether a particular concept belongs to a particular description.
Hi again,
I quote this statement you wrote because this is a good illustration of where we diverge from our view of everything:
START QUOTE
For example, if a classical coin has fallen behind a wall, the fact that we don't know whether it is heads or tails does not mean that the coin is physically in some intermediate state.
Our description is uncertain, but the coin itself is not in an intermediate state.END QUOTE
Here is my view of that statement, for better or worse...
First, there is no such thing as a "classical coin". We have coins, that's it. That's reality and there is no way around that. We can talk about a classical coin, but that means we have automatically fallen under some assumptions about reality, when what we are trying to determine all along is what reality is or what we know about it. We want the bottom-line truth.
This is why I think you are looking too hard for comfort in physics when there is none really.
The point I made about observation is that since EVERYTHING we see and know is based on observation, then we look at everything through a sort of "observation" filter. Something appears, but we don't see it, we only see it AFTER it passes through that observation window. It's completely out of view until it passes though, and unfortunately once it passes through we lose detail, detail that we may never get back.
The coin is in a superposition of states behind the wall because we can't observe it. This comes from a chain of reasoning that is part of quantum physics. This is really the way reality is. The only reason we BELIEVE it is in one state or the other is due to PAST observations that told us that "coins always land heads or tails" (excluding the edge case for simplicity). But that observation set was done in the PAST, and that pushes it right into the statistical average category where we rely on common observations over time. That does not mean that it is REALLY heads or tails, it just SUGGESTS that it is PROBABLY heads or tails. We have never seen it in a state other than that, that's what makes us BELIEVE it will be again. In quantum physics though, the down to earth hard and very uncomfortable truth, is that belief is just a heuristic, although it is a very good one for our common experience and our survival. The QM statistics says that the probability that it will be in some other state is very, very low, BUT it's NOT ZERO. Again uncomfortable, but true.
This is not just weird as all heck to us, it's weird as all heck to everyone.